The Farmers’ Almanac released their 2014 Long Range Winter Forecast on Sunday and called for a bitterly cold and snow filled winter across Upstate New York. The “Days of Shivery” are back according to the publication, and said that about two-thirds of the nation will experience a winter that has below average temperatures. A large area of below-normal temperatures will predominate from roughly east of the Continental Divide to the Appalachians, north and east through New England. Coldest temperatures will be over the Northern Plains on east into the Great Lakes. Only for the Far West and the Southeast will there be a semblance of winter temperatures averaging close to normal, but only a few areas will enjoy many days where temperatures will average above normal.
In addition, the outlook states that with a combination of below-normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation, the stage will be set for the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Central and Northern New England to receive lots of snow. Furthermore, they are “red-flagging” the first ten days of February for possible heavy winter weather. More importantly, on February 2, Super Bowl XLVIII will be played at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey’s Meadowlands — the very first time a Super Bowl will be played outdoors in a typically cold weather environment.
Now take that news with a HUGE grain of salt. A winter storm forecast for the February Super Bowl in late August?? Despite the claims that their forecasts are 80% accurate, it is nearly impossible to predict a large snowstorm or major cold snap over five months in advance. In addition, the publication prints or offers no evidence to back up their accuracy claims, nor do they give any insight on how the forecasts are made.
Any weather-related decisions should always be made after consulting proper statements and forecasts from the National Weather Service.